|Changes in mortality in Iraq|
|no title||Richard Garfield||31.07.98|
|Re: changes in mortality in Iraq||John Woodall||04.08.98|
Date: Fri, 31 Jul 1998 16:49:48 +0100
From: "Richard Garfield" <garfieratcuson-sph.cpmc.columbia.edu>
I am analyzing changes in mortality in Iraq over the last 25 years. There
are reliable data from census and use of indirect methods through 1991.
Since 1991, almost all of the independent, representative data one can for
malnutrition levels, not under one or under five mortality per se. I would
like to project likely mortality rates: I have is good information on
education, income, water, and medical care, and many studies from which to
generate reliable estimates of weight-for-age, height-for-age, and
weight-for-age. A simple correlation to known levels of under-one and
under-five mortality in countries with similar levels of malnutrition and
known mortality rates is possible, but given the influence of all the other
factors influencing mortality it is of questionable validity. Does anyone
know of any validated approaches to dealing with this problem?
Richard Garfield, Columbia University
From: "John Woodall" <WOODALLatSERVER.BIOQMED.UFRJ.BR>
Tue, 4 Aug 1998 15:27:53 GMT-3
Subject: Re: changes in mortality in Iraq
1] Your request is very difficult to follow because of missing words,
see **** below.
2] I was working the Iraq desk at WHO Geneva during part of 1991.
Forget about trying to project anything for Iraq since the Gulf
War. A Harvard group went out there soon after and were snowed by
lousy data fed them by the locals. Don't trust ANY data from there
collected since the war.
Dr Jack Woodall, Director, ProMED-mail
Institute of Biomedical Sciences, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro
Rio de Janeiro - RJ, Brazil